One Fan's UCLA Basketball Blog
News, analysis, and commentary about the UCLA Bruins basketball program
Friday, March 11, 2005
 
the ncaa tournament awaits
okay, I was a little hasty in my post last night after the game, as i alluded to the fact that yesterday's game might have been our last of the year. well, i forgot about the NIT. now, it's possible that we decline an invite to the NIT, but that's probably not going to happen, so we should have at least one more game no matter what. besides, this NIT talk is most likely moot as every major bracket prognosticator is counting us as a lock to make the tourney. our rpi is still in the 30s, and a lot of the bubble teams behind us are dropping out. thus, despite conference tourney losses by teams more likely to get bids than us (such as Nevada last night), losses by teams like Maryland, Indiana, Virginia Tech, Vandy, and Georgetown should mean that we're in. it's looking like our seed will be in the #10 range. of course, these "experts" could be wrong, so feel free to root for Utah and Pacific in their conference tourneys.

something that might make things a little dicey would be Oregon State winning the Pac-10 tourney. There aren't supposed to be "conference quotas", but eyebrows will be raised if the Pac-10 gets five teams in. This is even more true since the Pac-10 is no longer the #2 RPI conference, at least according to this article by Gregg Doyel. whether this means you should root for Arizona tonight, well, that's up to you - i'd never actually encourage someone to do that :).

For the best bubble breakdown, see Steward Mandel's page at SI.com. It makes it very clear who is in, who should get in, who might, and who won't. Be aware that there are no brackets, just bubble analysis. You might also want to look at ESPN's bubble watch, ESPN's bracketology, and FoxSports.com's bracket update.
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